A Correction

November 22nd, 2005
 

2005.09.01-19.26.59/au-logo.jpgOn Sunday I wrote that Alabama went three-and-out on six of seven first-half possessions. I was wrong. It was worse than that. After scanning the drive chart at ESPN, I see that I miscounted. Alabama went three-and-out on seven of eight first-half possessions. For the whole game Alabama went three-and-out 9 times, and scored 3 times. Auburn went three-and-out 6 times and scored 4 times. Those numbers aren’t so very different between the two teams, but taken out of context, they don’t tell the whole story. To get a clearer picture, break down the three-and-outs and the scores by half:

Half Alabama Auburn
        3-and-out                 Score                 3-and-out                 Score        
1 7 1 2 4
2 2 2 4 0

That breakdown speaks of first-half dominance, but it still doesn’t tell the real story. To see the real story, you have to break it down by quarters, although you don’t have to look further than the first quarter:

Quarter Alabama Auburn
        3-and-out                 Score                 3-and-out                 Score        
1 4 0 0 3

These numbers tell me the same thing I saw on Saturday: the game was out of hand in the first quarter. When you force your opponent to go three-and-out on their first four possessions of the game, and score touchdowns on your own first three possessions, you’ve probably got the other guys by the nads. It just doesn’t add up any other way.

So why all the analysis? I guess it’s just my nature – I’m an engineer, after all.

By the way, Huntsville Times columnist John Pruett, who witnessed his fiftieth Iron Bowl on Saturday, says the game was over after eleven minutes had ticked off the clock, when Ben Obomanu scored on a 45-yard reverse. Actually, John, that touchdown came with 4:01 remaining in the first quarter, so the game was over after 10:59.

But who’s counting?




One Response to “A Correction”

  1. Leigh Ann Says:

    Can you believe they are STILL saying they won the last 3 quarters? Bodie Croyle said “”If you take away that one quarter, we won the game 18-7.” Unbelievable!!!!